CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c176759f6b3006c44d432e95b0f9a7b68ca89a973d59133a1e3ea915e8db6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 43c | 8,232$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.09 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 64c | 7,807$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 36c | 1,753$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.27 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 35c | 1,635$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.78 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 1,472$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.66 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 65c | 1,149$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 917.14$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 45c | 800.22$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 35c | 692.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 35c | 534.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 52c | 426.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 45c | 421.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 47c | 402.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 46c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 36c | 299.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 34c | 287.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 40c | 260.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 56c | 201.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Over | 34c | 171.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 35c | 156.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 34c | 151.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Over | 35c | 143.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Over | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 35c | 118.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 37c | 118.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Over | 36c | 102.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 86.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Over | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 67.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 63c | 57.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 44c | 45.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 53c | 45.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Under | 45c | 32.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 65c | 31.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 37c | 26.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 45c | 26.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 66c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.