TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Acend, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG59c8,538$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.4375452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Acend42c3,064$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.521,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Acend67c2,709$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.969565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Acend47c1,687$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.7343055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Acend51c1,533$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.012,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Acend43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64521953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Acend47c1,475$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.440137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Acend40c1,418$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.993,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed NRG61c1,288$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6730153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Acend40c1,075$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed NRG47c1,031$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.529063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Acend58c944.61$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014747.6%70 W · 77 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked NRG53c804.06$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.919443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Acend25c787.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.111,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf131…36f7backed NRG54c727.96$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+66.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Acend60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42035347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Acend40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24094445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NRG51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG46c584.67$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.982,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed NRG34c540.08$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.081921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Acend40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20074633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Acend40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Acend39c497.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.921,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG46c462.55$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.572,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG41c442.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.871,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Acend22c433.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d7…9c21backed NRG55c407.47$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Acend49c406.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked Acend39c390.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.481776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf86c…9f3bbacked NRG61c384.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG50c371.4$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.181,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed NRG40c364.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8348251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked NRG71c323$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.676845.6%31 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Acend40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12055441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed Acend40c280.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4111348.7%55 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NRG48c267.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.242,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Acend42c256.44$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.694,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed NRG53c255.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3130841.6%128 W · 180 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Acend40c251.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.415337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Acend38c210.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG36c207.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.342,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed NRG74c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2440175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed NRG61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed NRG50c194.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.926939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Acend40c193$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.222455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG32c190$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.23,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Acend46c181.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9237848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Acend46c178.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.382,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend45c165.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed NRG61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9331261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae27…8c1ebacked NRG50c163.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG38c160.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.465,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Acend46c159.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7353034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked NRG61c158.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.92944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed NRG67c156.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Acend40c154.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4716641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Acend39c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.922,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed NRG42c144.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.417163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed NRG58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3183556.2%469 W · 366 L+31.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Acend45c128.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.652,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked NRG42c128$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8818939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed NRG39c127$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1121049.5%104 W · 106 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed NRG61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.87856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed NRG52c119$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8214949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG49c117.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.782,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG57c117.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.585,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed NRG53c117.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.138250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed NRG53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed NRG53c113.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.221650%108 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e8…ebb7backed NRG56c112.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed NRG56c107$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Acend31c102.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1162048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NRG61c100.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1441555.4%230 W · 185 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked NRG51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498653.5%46 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed NRG56c97.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.717951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Acend41c95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3521151.7%109 W · 102 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Acend39c93.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4138841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed NRG32c90.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6325635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…9a5cbacked NRG61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111661.2%71 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked NRG56c87.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0927838.1%106 W · 172 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked NRG61c87.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9620757.5%119 W · 88 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Acend47c85.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Acend32c80.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked NRG62c80.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6438269.4%265 W · 117 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Acend44c79.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.215732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed NRG69c78.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6521652.8%114 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae56…e279backed NRG40c77.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.46580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+108.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed NRG61c76.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013258.3%77 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Acend14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.086743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b4…d45dbacked NRG57c68.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.247859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Acend52c67.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9635148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed NRG37c65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9543448.4%210 W · 224 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Acend42c64.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Acend48c63.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7624260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked NRG64c62.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.579764.9%63 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG56c62.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Acend41c61.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1825252%131 W · 121 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Acend51c61.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3813063.1%82 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.