Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e88fd883e66a95417ac88e33876c14479a06e7aaae4c23494233622e2ee0467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,906,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,752,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,906,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d36…0e68backed Yes | 29c | 3,825,340$1,125,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125,268.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 71c | 1,964,907$1,386,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578,378.67 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 77c | 1,548,193$1,195,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352,305.33 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed Yes | 29c | 466,083$135,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,164.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed No | 71c | 400,000$284,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,000 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 379,972$37,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,663.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Yes | 29c | 367,001$106,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,430.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 327,667$243,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,615.7 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 25c | 307,624$76,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,099.18 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 71c | 250,000$177,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,999.87 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 71c | 194,589$138,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,101.58 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked No | 71c | 150,000$106,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,499.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 71c | 144,000$102,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,759.92 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 71c | 133,000$94,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,569.99 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 71c | 119,332$84,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,606.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 71c | 112,735$80,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,693.15 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 106,655$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 71c | 102,899$72,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,349.21 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 12c | 100,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 71c | 97,440$69,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,252 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 72c | 95,534$68,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,575.71 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 82,989$60,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,307.54 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 29c | 79,190$22,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,965.05 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 21c | 72,366$15,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,092.52 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 68,123$10,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,436.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 71c | 66,666$47,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,333.12 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 56,937$13,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,733.47 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 31c | 48,329$14,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,857.34 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 28c | 39,495$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,058.57 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 35,000$24,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 11c | 32,945$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.52 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 25c | 31,793$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.2 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 70c | 31,788$22,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,468.52 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 29c | 31,305$9,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,078.46 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 71c | 27,920$19,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.79 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes | 29c | 27,586$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 72c | 27,000$19,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 80c | 26,166$20,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.16 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 26,160$18,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,681.5 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…baf1backed Yes | 8c | 25,493$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes | 7c | 25,121$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.29 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…8acbbacked No | 71c | 24,000$16,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 21,756$15,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.93 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 20,624$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.36 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 20,077$14,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,771.07 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 28c | 18,888$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.63 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 71c | 18,743$13,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.47 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Yes | 30c | 18,235$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.89 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 23c | 16,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 15,112$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 71c | 14,999$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.76 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 71c | 14,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 13,672$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.93 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed No | 72c | 11,820$8,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.51 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 4c | 11,718$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 72c | 11,098$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.42 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 8c | 10,274$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.83 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 29c | 10,218$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.11 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes | 29c | 10,140$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.57 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…8d4fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 9,812$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 11c | 9,732$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.84 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 31c | 9,387$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes | 6c | 9,306$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.33 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 1c | 9,279$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 29c | 9,076$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 21c | 8,888$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 29c | 8,583$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.19 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…b719backed Yes | 1c | 8,446$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 8,389$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.52 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 8,382$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.91 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 8c | 8,156$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.51 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 8,066$5,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 7,290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 6,679$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 71c | 6,500$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 5,999$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.77 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 28c | 5,950$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,862$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 7c | 5,546$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.09 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,353$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…ee72backed Yes | 28c | 5,303$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…da91backed Yes | 17c | 5,295$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 71c | 5,100$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.95 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 4,929$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.41 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 11c | 4,752$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 71c | 4,751$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.79 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,639$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.79 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 70c | 4,523$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.46 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?this page
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.