Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9d64c02c935ceec8411575cc5077966565938e970bbe6f3d65e128cb398621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 83,421$25,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,620 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…a623backed Aurora | 67c | 60,000$40,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,810.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 19,453$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,018.52 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 52c | 19,271$10,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.95 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 59c | 16,455$9,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 15,260$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.55 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 50c | 13,771$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,922.88 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 12,410$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.11 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 8,344$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.07 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 8,143$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.67 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 6,503$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 58c | 5,839$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 5,678$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 58c | 4,676$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.45 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 4,582$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.3 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 69c | 4,448$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.46 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 59c | 4,029$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.06 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.13 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 56c | 3,986$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 49c | 3,940$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.27 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 3,845$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.62 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 3,747$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.88 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 47c | 3,606$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.29 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 46c | 3,438$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,239$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.45 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 37c | 3,201$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.5 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Aurora | 75c | 3,145$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.14 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 58c | 2,581$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.5 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,535$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.11 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.98 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…0ddabacked Aurora | 78c | 2,450$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 2,383$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.66 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,330$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.81 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 2,235$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.15 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 69c | 2,207$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 60c | 2,178$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.29 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,093$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.77 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,989$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.69 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,967$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.95 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,867$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.31 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,815$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.75 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,800$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.87 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.04 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,730$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.85 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,718$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.6 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 59c | 1,667$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.98 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 64c | 1,651$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,550$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 58c | 1,538$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.4 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,524$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.39 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…ee6dbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 1,491$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,468$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,465$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.46 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Aurora | 61c | 1,434$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.23 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,372$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.23 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.02 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,307$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.01 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,286$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 58c | 1,243$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,241$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.01 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 1,221$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Aurora | 70c | 1,148$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Aurora | 76c | 1,141$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.66 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.23 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 61c | 1,078$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Aurora | 71c | 999.99$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 71c | 999.99$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Aurora | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 50c | 994.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.29 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 78c | 949.96$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 946.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.21 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 900$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.37 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 67c | 899.78$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 887.34$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 49c | 886.39$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.94 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Vici Gaming | 24c | 870.37$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 861.52$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.16 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Aurora | 49c | 844$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.38 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Aurora | 60c | 834.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.22 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 831.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora | 50c | 800.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Aurora | 64c | 798.66$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 63c | 797.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.53 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Aurora | 58c | 789.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aurora | 79c | 778.23$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 777$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 769.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Aurora | 79c | 754.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 67c | 747.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Aurora | 41c | 732.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Aurora | 43c | 688.74$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.98 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Vici Gaming | 17c | 649.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 649.13$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.58 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.