Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9adc5931a2a5d7e9065aca98c973bc6f247b36c8e38a291844a3e5574695a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Aurora, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 58c | 29,367$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,898.3 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 19,690$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,089.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 15,192$6,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,717.85 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 33c | 11,805$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 65c | 10,333$6,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,733.83 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 7,585$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.41 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 6,701$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 6,669$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.22 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 5,672$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 51c | 5,550$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.97 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 61c | 5,412$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.23 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 3,875$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.64 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce47…4032backed Aurora | 23c | 3,825$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 57c | 3,822$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.64 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 57c | 3,745$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.25 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 3,091$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 59c | 3,022$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.74 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 2,896$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 2,733$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.36 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 59c | 2,574$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.45 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 58c | 2,480$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.11 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.01 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 2,389$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.97 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 2,208$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.71 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 2,007$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.25 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 1,849$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.63 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,740$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.49 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,598$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 30c | 1,514$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 5c | 1,397$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 58c | 1,321$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.22 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,315$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.45 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,179$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.84 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,172$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.87 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 1,136$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 59c | 1,130$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.7 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.08 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 1,022$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Aurora | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 996.92$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 49c | 988.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 964.15$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 59c | 900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Aurora | 59c | 874$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.66 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 804.83$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 67c | 780.09$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.42 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 724.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.17 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 706.4$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 686.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Aurora | 34c | 590.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 588.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.15 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 583.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 553.22$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Aurora | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 65c | 543.76$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.93 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 542$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.22 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Aurora | 54c | 515.99$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.51 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 22c | 510.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Aurora | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 497.79$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Aurora | 28c | 491.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Aurora | 61c | 482.77$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Aurora | 56c | 446.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 444.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Aurora | 44c | 443.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 41c | 439.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 24c | 439.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Aurora | 38c | 399.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 383.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Aurora | 51c | 379.56$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 370$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 367.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 355.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01e…f001backed Aurora | 60c | 327.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 320.86$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Aurora | 23c | 301.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 57c | 297.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Aurora | 66c | 290$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 288.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Aurora | 58c | 266.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora | 35c | 263.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 254.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Aurora | 58c | 254.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked Aurora | 42c | 245.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 60c | 244.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 232.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Aurora | 54c | 231.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 231.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Aurora | 61c | 228.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 223.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.