Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b93dcc510cf3b532c4cb3061ecb5421b2ceb60f47d322d2da495a65b4a70ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 21,453$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 7,809$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.36 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 7,178$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 59c | 3,050$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.49 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 61c | 2,624$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 65c | 2,041$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.9 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 2,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 67c | 1,893$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 59c | 1,832$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,777$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.69 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 60c | 1,721$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.45 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Aurora | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,551$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 62c | 1,311$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.18 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 59c | 1,306$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.58 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 59c | 1,260$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,186$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.38 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Aurora | 78c | 1,100$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Aurora | 61c | 1,084$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.89 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,036$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.27 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 80c | 986.2$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora | 74c | 979.5$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 934.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Aurora | 65c | 928.43$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 58c | 863.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 72c | 834.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 828.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 61c | 810$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 62c | 783.67$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 8c | 750$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 59c | 642.54$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 61c | 574.8$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.37 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 564.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 558.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 58c | 525.66$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Aurora | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 58c | 503.56$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Aurora | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 69c | 500$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Aurora | 62c | 485.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 480.26$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Aurora | 64c | 453.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 410$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 387.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 387.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…580abacked Aurora | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 21c | 375.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Vici Gaming | 5c | 354.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 66c | 339.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 66c | 310.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Aurora | 65c | 309.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 280.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 251.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora | 76c | 234.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Aurora | 63c | 224.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 60c | 220.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Aurora | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Aurora | 67c | 209.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Aurora | 55c | 204.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 201.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Aurora | 62c | 200.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Aurora | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Aurora | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 195.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 71c | 189.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 176$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 161.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 158.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 141.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed Aurora | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 139.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Aurora | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 391 | 51.2%200 W · 191 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…b2eebacked Aurora | 58c | 128.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 126.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Aurora | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Aurora | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 111.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Aurora | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Aurora | 63c | 106.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Aurora | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Aurora | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)Vici Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.