TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,819 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 9z42c11,937$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.5342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit59c8,986$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.2367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit58c8,640$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.2925751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed 9z44c5,020$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z1c4,723$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Spirit58c4,461$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.8312449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z25c4,395$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.583,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 9z41c4,375$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.9635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Spirit58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…861fbacked Spirit56c3,366$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.011668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x065d…f0f1backed Spirit64c3,135$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked 9z42c3,133$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.6710945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z40c3,024$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.4528538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked 9z41c2,900$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18924943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Spirit59c2,803$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.739353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed 9z41c2,568$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.8812334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 9z44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit69c2,350$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5325555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 9z41c2,304$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.5415141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed 9z48c2,082$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Spirit56c2,059$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.126248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80084454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed 9z45c2,000$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.1931642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Spirit59c1,900$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.998847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked 9z41c1,779$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.524837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit60c1,656$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.411,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed 9z41c1,639$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked 9z40c1,567$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6329147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked 9z42c1,403$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7734943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked 9z20c1,370$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27424447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Spirit60c1,105$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.159442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed 9z41c1,098$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Spirit60c1,090$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 9z36c1,072$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed 9z40c1,037$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed 9z40c1,030$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41217247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Spirit54c1,007$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.127537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked 9z41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41017945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Spirit60c970.33$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3320946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked 9z42c943.07$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spirit59c918$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3826549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z41c918$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.381,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Spirit57c877$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed Spirit57c839.6$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.038242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed 9z40c830.91$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed Spirit55c800$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3617647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Spirit75c795.17$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit56c743.9$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.321,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed 9z40c740$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked Spirit59c699.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Spirit59c664.41$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4110136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit60c635$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2549258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked 9z40c610.42$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.176245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Spirit59c555$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Spirit58c523.95$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0624249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed 9z40c517.5$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20759343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Spirit60c514.42$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7719047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z20c502$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7650947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 9z42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Spirit60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed 9z40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4554…9694backed Spirit57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Spirit58c494.76$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Spirit62c483.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.927350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked 9z38c433.29$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3316738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 9z43c430$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.954732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Spirit60c420.93$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5948562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Spirit72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed 9z41c365.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed 9z40c344$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.63844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Spirit59c340.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.438852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Spirit71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed 9z43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060f…34c0backed Spirit59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked 9z40c245$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.29443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed 9z42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 9z18c233.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked 9z42c226.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9925045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked 9z26c213.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Spirit57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed 9z43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 9z9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Spirit59c197.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.874450%22 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed Spirit58c174$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.086442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked 9z41c172$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.526858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Spirit60c163.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 9z41c162.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Spirit80c151.76$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3527848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Spirit80c132.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.629052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f54…3575backed Spirit60c127.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Spirit60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed 9z42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040050.8%203 W · 197 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked Spirit59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.645048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed 9z42c112$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.86055%33 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Spirit58c107.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2624055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Spirit59c100.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.