CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e479f28011eed5bf34ac8e4d98b620b22d425f009a12a0f3ef079526ec2c2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,406 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 39c | 47,790$18,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,533.04 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 61c | 30,106$18,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,742.59 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 18c | 13,807$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.2 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 13,297$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Over | 18c | 11,088$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 5,659$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.95 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 0c | 5,221$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 63c | 2,111$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.03 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 28c | 1,254$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Under | 79c | 1,041$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 18c | 866.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 22c | 608.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 22c | 514.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 78c | 480.1$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 63c | 400.25$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Under | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked Under | 68c | 338.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 66c | 242.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 79c | 222.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 63c | 184$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Under | 77c | 130.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 63c | 122.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 117.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked Under | 66c | 106.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…7cb1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 74c | 95.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 62c | 84.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 66c | 79.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 20c | 78.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 38c | 77.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…04abbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 31c | 73.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…8d1abacked Over | 26c | 69.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 21c | 61.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Under | 74c | 58.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 63c | 54.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 31c | 51.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 34c | 50.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 75c | 46.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9198…f83ebacked Under | 63c | 46.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Under | 62c | 45.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Over | 39c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…f97fbacked Under | 64c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…26c8backed Under | 64c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 66c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 63c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…ad68backed Under | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 61c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…62c8backed Under | 72c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.