TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,412 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e4…2daebacked 9z2c70,939$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.5712736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked 9z19c40,388$7,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.2519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 9z16c30,044$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,906.9730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 9z15c18,107$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.0842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed 9z13c17,110$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.2922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked 9z3c14,908$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5229127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed 9z16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.024537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z8c9,941$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.982,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 9z15c9,798$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.6912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z10c9,290$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.621,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z3c8,506$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.183,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed 9z18c7,008$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.4513546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed 9z16c6,951$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.477256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked 9z16c6,346$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3712449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06db…1e5cbacked 9z5c5,582$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed 9z16c5,450$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9835236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed 9z17c5,349$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.336634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed 9z0c5,213$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.225543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed 9z17c5,065$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.0319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z6c5,037$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.013,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 9z15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 9z16c4,200$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 9z16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9448…f40dbacked 9z12c3,713$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked 9z7c3,496$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 9z7c3,253$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.071,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 9z18c3,102$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 9z5c3,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 9z16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 9z5c3,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ef…1884backed 9z7c3,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked 9z18c2,838$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefad…501fbacked 9z17c2,755$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.321533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed 9z19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 9z5c2,400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked 9z21c2,400$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 9z5c2,250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12088746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z1c2,250$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked 9z17c2,091$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.510251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z16c2,080$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.795,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z13c2,037$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.462,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked 9z17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked 9z17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked 9z18c1,729$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2810945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked 9z18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed 9z15c1,607$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.093040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed 9z16c1,600$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 9z5c1,562$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed 9z17c1,540$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.59540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z8c1,433$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.622,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked 9z17c1,406$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23916248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2603…90b3backed 9z17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2384131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed 9z5c1,319$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed 9z17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed 9z17c1,171$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19922734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed 9z22c1,159$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9d…e065backed 9z18c1,148$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed 9z18c1,144$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20615033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed 9z17c1,100$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18711740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed 9z18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9924429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z7c1,082$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked 9z18c1,080$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed 9z19c1,063$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 9z17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed 9z17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 9z18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed 9z17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe677…44c5backed 9z5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 9z14c999.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8755236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 9z14c988.5$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.961,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z19c930.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03e…fb96backed 9z4c897.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed 9z17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed 9z7c869.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.394856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…5ce7backed 9z4c833.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.262020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked 9z3c828.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.316738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56af…3065backed 9z18c778.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.565820.7%12 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z16c734.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.031,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed 9z5c729.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed 9z7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 9z7c655.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8680744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c2…7c70backed 9z17c653.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked 9z19c646.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4414355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41e8…b994backed 9z5c636.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1085…e12dbacked 9z5c605.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.374042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 9z18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed 9z17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 9z18c590.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1531735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked 9z17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bb…6d18backed 9z5c586.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked 9z7c565$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3520936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7508…e2e1backed 9z17c558.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd74…3b5dbacked 9z7c551.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 9z17c544.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked 9z19c525$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.414137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed 9z3c519.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.817617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 9z13c517.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed 9z2c504.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed 9z15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.