TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,535 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit71c19,504$13,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.4675758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z28c19,117$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.33,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 9z30c13,859$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.4624544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 9z29c8,091$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.6130726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed 9z0c6,769$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9447441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed 9z1c4,844$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Spirit71c3,039$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.9226549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaafa…ba1abacked 9z12c2,287$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed 9z29c2,024$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 9z27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed Spirit74c1,869$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7426368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed 9z6c1,616$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.522938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit76c1,605$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.915,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit74c1,553$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8425555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed 9z1c1,551$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit70c1,504$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.1846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed 9z2c1,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257418.9%14 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Spirit72c1,283$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.277147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Spirit73c1,274$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.881,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed 9z4c1,251$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed 9z30c1,209$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 9z22c1,180$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.31,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z2c1,108$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Spirit73c1,056$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6214555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed Spirit72c1,022$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6213847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked 9z29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2908445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed 9z2c817.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit71c810.18$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9739248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed 9z10c795.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked 9z1c749.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z25c719.26$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.271,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z21c702.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.222,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Spirit72c695.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z7c595.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.446,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed 9z26c587.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7110841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 9z4c568.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ff2dbacked 9z30c531.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 9z14c504.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked 9z8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024841.1%102 W · 146 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Spirit73c494.23$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.238359%49 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Spirit69c471.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1238452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Spirit70c465.17$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.44045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 9z29c464.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…0864backed 9z2c441.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d0…534ebacked Spirit71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed 9z30c389.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Spirit72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2227259.2%161 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed Spirit72c338.79$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.862842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Spirit75c321.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0836555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit75c295.36$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Spirit76c295.22$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4919362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed 9z29c290.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3838552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed 9z30c251.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.956134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed 9z5c244.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked 9z30c243.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7322444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed 9z14c242.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z14c238.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.491,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed 9z27c211.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 9z20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Spirit70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 9z30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Spirit71c196.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c4…8d1abacked 9z14c191.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…0512backed 9z6c175$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Spirit72c165.59$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5922554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc24f…71a3backed 9z31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Spirit71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed 9z7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.229831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Spirit75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.517633%58 W · 118 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…d71cbacked Spirit72c149.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81f…0c26backed Spirit71c142.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.252751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Spirit71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8521246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b8…21e8backed Spirit71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58aa…f042backed Spirit72c138.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb090…69d7backed Spirit76c131.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.692850%14 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7e…faafbacked 9z17c128.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked 9z9c123.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.546042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked 9z30c123.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked 9z30c118.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed 9z28c105.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.597552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed 9z29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 9z29c103$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.452,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed 9z15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 9z30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43df…f331backed 9z10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed 9z17c97.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5534848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Spirit76c96.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.552,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked 9z31c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4515246.7%71 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed 9z28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed 9z17c89.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked 9z30c82.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.236450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed 9z30c81.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Spirit72c70.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6133352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Spirit72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4418554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked 9z29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.