TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,132 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 9z17c24,933$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.9630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 9z18c9,468$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.7812648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit79c9,466$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.8146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z17c8,920$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.4222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z0c7,320$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z19c7,014$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.343,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 9z16c6,435$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.4133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit79c5,410$4,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.2839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed 9z20c4,012$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.844537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 9z23c3,998$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.2324544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed 9z12c3,048$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.65543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed 9z21c2,836$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5148437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z19c2,507$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed 9z20c2,006$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1820942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 9z21c1,980$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.7946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Spirit77c1,975$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.345267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 9z17c1,888$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 9z18c1,761$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.41,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit79c1,740$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.793,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z16c1,684$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.622,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit77c1,498$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.661,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed 9z12c1,202$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.222832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit76c1,106$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked 9z18c1,069$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.510251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z21c1,000$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.54,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Spirit78c989.75$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed 9z16c836$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.924045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 9z20c764.47$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked 9z9c756.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.014850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 9z17c710$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 9z16c700.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.84,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed 9z8c637.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Spirit79c636.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0832653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked 9z21c627$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit78c585.14$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.731,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed 9z9c563.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3934156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z18c556$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.861,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Spirit79c552.37$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11629465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked 9z19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Spirit78c513.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2727658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed 9z14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z22c476.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.441,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb090…69d7backed Spirit74c407.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.572850%14 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed 9z18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 9z11c380$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z13c354.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.057,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked 9z9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit80c310$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6229851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed 9z10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed 9z21c295.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 9z18c283.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Spirit79c265.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.817972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed 9z19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed 9z19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit79c254.57$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked 9z6c253.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618126.5%48 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed 9z18c220$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed 9z13c218.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9834848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed 9z19c216.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.827939.2%31 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 9z5c213.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 9z25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked 9z11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed 9z10c195.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.598030%24 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 9z17c194.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5416047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 9z18c178.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.352,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed 9z24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 9z29c174.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed 9z18c173.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked 9z22c155.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe806…ba20backed 9z23c147.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Spirit79c146.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7117745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…57bfbacked 9z14c144.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed 9z21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Spirit79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584481.8%36 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bb3…ff2dbacked Spirit79c112.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed 9z18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked 9z15c108.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.231,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 9z19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked 9z20c101.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.558749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Spirit78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked 9z15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a36…7affbacked 9z13c93.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe506…7580backed Spirit80c89.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked 9z23c86.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed 9z17c84.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked 9z18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.944355.8%24 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 9z17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.845224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Spirit79c79.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2821557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 9z15c74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5a…5ce7backed 9z17c68.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Spirit80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.518554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked 9z17c61.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3427556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51f…b4cdbacked 9z18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked 9z18c57.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.288144.4%36 W · 45 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde25…972ebacked 9z22c49.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115058%29 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Spirit79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.332561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit77c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Spirit79c37.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.820046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Spirit78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.641848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.