Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d630ad8c9d024f7883b23b984c73f27d8129b804a85e4aa7c219f37f1055220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester United FCof Leeds United FC, Manchester United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Leeds United FC | 6c | 10,480$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.57 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked Leeds United FC | 77c | 8,494$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Manchester United FC | 36c | 8,270$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.19 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Manchester United FC | 75c | 6,409$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 2,285$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Leeds United FC | 14c | 1,667$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Leeds United FC | 6c | 1,578$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Manchester United FC | 55c | 1,547$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Leeds United FC | 4c | 1,246$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 1,059$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Leeds United FC | 4c | 1,012$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569c…140dbacked Manchester United FC | 54c | 965.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 942.94$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Leeds United FC | 5c | 886.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…107abacked Leeds United FC | 5c | 802$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…1a1bbacked Leeds United FC | 5c | 780$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…338cbacked Leeds United FC | 5c | 765$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…ce3abacked Leeds United FC | 5c | 752$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…eab2backed Leeds United FC | 5c | 719$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Leeds United FC | 7c | 695.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…1cd3backed Leeds United FC | 4c | 689$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Leeds United FC | 6c | 678.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…a96fbacked Leeds United FC | 5c | 641.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…9824backed Leeds United FC | 5c | 632.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Manchester United FC | 52c | 629.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Manchester United FC | 44c | 616.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…5983backed Manchester United FC | 54c | 604.33$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 574.29$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Leeds United FC | 20c | 465.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 407.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Leeds United FC | 47c | 368.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Leeds United FC | 47c | 368.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Manchester United FC | 72c | 358.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Leeds United FC | 6c | 333.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Leeds United FC | 40c | 263.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Leeds United FC | 40c | 234.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Leeds United FC | 44c | 194.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 193.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 193.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 183.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Leeds United FC | 17c | 169.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 155.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 149.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Manchester United FC | 74c | 138.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Leeds United FC | 11c | 128.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leeds United FC | 32c | 121.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Leeds United FC | 34c | 117.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Manchester United FC | 57c | 104.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Manchester United FC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8139backed Manchester United FC | 41c | 92.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Leeds United FC | 24c | 80.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Leeds United FC | 18c | 80.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…16e7backed Manchester United FC | 74c | 58.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…2493backed Manchester United FC | 53c | 54.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Leeds United FC | 47c | 51.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…a43cbacked Manchester United FC | 58c | 50.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Leeds United FC | 30c | 49.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 44.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…ee8abacked Manchester United FC | 60c | 41.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Leeds United FC | 47c | 37.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Leeds United FC | 79c | 34.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 30.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Manchester United FC | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Manchester United FC | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Manchester United FC | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Leeds United FC | 47c | 27.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Manchester United FC | 55c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…51e1backed Manchester United FC | 53c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…fb30backed Manchester United FC | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…df3abacked Manchester United FC | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…5296backed Manchester United FC | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.