Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd621ffd63bac97747045e7905dfa74fdc5e28fa2c5240403c31bd2845f704ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846of FC Bayern München, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 56c | 3,949$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 3,641$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 3,033$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.04 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 1,938$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 1,495$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.12 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FC Bayern München | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 1,063$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,012$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…48e7backed FC Bayern München | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked FC Bayern München | 19c | 932.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Bayern München | 4c | 790.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 72c | 581.76$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 63c | 477.36$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 67c | 448.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Bayern München | 10c | 350.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 346.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +176%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 303.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 224.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked FC Bayern München | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 211.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 203.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 59c | 202.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 189.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 176$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 64c | 152.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked FC Bayern München | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 126.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 63c | 113.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 101.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed FC Bayern München | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 86.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 82.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 80.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 73.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 61c | 68.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed FC Bayern München | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 60.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked FC Bayern München | 27c | 56.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…55f1backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 48.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 58c | 42.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 41.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 38.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 62c | 30.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 54c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 64c | 20.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.