Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b931718fc373993ce73f1a05be6a04b41b7042b36335c02446b80272a4d1457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846of FC Bayern München, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 25,349$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 64c | 20,813$13,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 44c | 14,701$6,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,291.9 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 71c | 11,020$7,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 6,943$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 42c | 5,937$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 3,839$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked FC Bayern München | 57c | 2,321$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 2,290$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 2,236$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 1,953$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.84 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 1,940$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.59 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 1,919$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.75 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 1,901$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 1,800$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked FC Bayern München | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 1,481$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.06 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 1,327$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 1,254$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed FC Bayern München | 16c | 1,225$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 1,213$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.13 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 1,200$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 40c | 999.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…d9dcbacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 907.74$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…745cbacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 830.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 659.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.78 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 626.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 569.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.17 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 74c | 520$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 493$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.87 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 479.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 40c | 450.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 46c | 438.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 70c | 428.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 37c | 362.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 349.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 69c | 314$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 42c | 299$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e41…09b2backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 76c | 288.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 276.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 44c | 259.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 74c | 243.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 40c | 240.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 43c | 231.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 203.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 194.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked FC Bayern München | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 177$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 43c | 173.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 163.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 160.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 154.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 41c | 153.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 134.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…81dabacked FC Bayern München | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 132.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…c6a2backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 124.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 123.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 123.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 119.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 118.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 114.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 114.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 104.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked FC Bayern München | 22c | 99.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 99.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 42c | 98.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 92.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 83.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.