Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f2a5a6a96cae3025c652d8c93ea076dccb3ab2dc2d3847c788766c918e5003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 53c | 1,265$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.52 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 735.16$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 473.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 47c | 416.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…d11dbacked Yes | 54c | 370.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 270.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 270.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…4883backed Yes | 55c | 91.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 51c | 85.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 47c | 68.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 53c | 51.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 47c | 38.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…2766backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC leading at halftime?this page
- Burnley FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.