TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,420,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,519,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,420,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes61c2,919,260$1,771,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771,257.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…5009backed Yes54c580,884$314,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314,864.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No39c500,000$195,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No40c450,000$178,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c297,148$135,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,815.441,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No45c240,000$107,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No39c200,000$78,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,5003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c130,856$51,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,148.6162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No40c130,600$52,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,265.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes0c99,461$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.815046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No40c85,970$34,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,934.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No40c84,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,4002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c77,500$30,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,97513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c75,642$32,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,195.5371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No44c70,161$30,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,296.713050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c58,946$23,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,726.2935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No40c50,100$19,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,2271163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c44,710$21,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,641.2137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No40c41,030$16,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,6183351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No39c37,776$14,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,043.363246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes2c35,914$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.042119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No39c35,226$13,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,333.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No45c30,750$13,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,040560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No39c27,000$10,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,4601060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes59c21,364$12,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,638.0614337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No40c19,356$7,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,613.684940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c18,521$7,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,262.5723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No39c15,378$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,322.94551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c14,372$6,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,227.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c12,028$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,970.2887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No39c12,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3202045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No39c11,913$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,267.119159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No39c11,111$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,777.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No40c10,938$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,562.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked No57c10,921$6,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c10,793$6,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,371.124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No44c10,304$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.2426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5003756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No40c8,403$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked No48c8,333$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No40c8,300$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No40c8,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8401838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No40c7,690$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,613.71838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No40c7,538$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed No40c6,986$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No40c6,422$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.22536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c6,121$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.9352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c5,569$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.4835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c5,500$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,34014452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No39c5,500$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+122.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No44c5,100$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.995354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked No41c4,665$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ce…d5f9backed Yes63c4,352$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed No39c4,300$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes59c4,064$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.875330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No39c4,038$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.189553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No41c4,030$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.954447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes57c4,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No41c3,959$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.043542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes50c3,662$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.74746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No41c3,211$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.72835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No40c3,181$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No49c3,077$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.192356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No39c3,052$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No45c3,024$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8006060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.992040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No40c2,836$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.394362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No43c2,529$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.475942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No40c2,371$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes41c2,197$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.985040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No39c2,138$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.319055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes1c2,083$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No48c2,076$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes57c2,007$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.954151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed No40c2,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2102100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+304.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No41c2,000$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No39c1,903$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No40c1,757$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.942347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes60c1,517$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.724557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c1,510$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.911735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed No39c1,450$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes58c1,430$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.48444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c1,381$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.1528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes43c1,335$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.172231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c1,223$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.235037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.