Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd512784bf0a68d4ae6b37f13a7a6c4a759e0443e4df72610958c3af5ea5bc664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 20,505$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,811.03 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 12,827$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.05 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 9,997$7,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,113.47 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 9c | 5,831$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…173dbacked Yes | 20c | 5,570$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 5,436$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.37 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 60c | 4,974$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 3,407$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.59 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 2,567$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.27 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 56c | 2,070$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,908$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d86ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,484$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 20c | 1,229$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 1,212$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.73 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 14c | 1,121$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 1,031$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 969.75$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.75 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 968.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.02 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 39c | 804.91$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…1a94backed Yes | 19c | 705.26$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…fa4dbacked Yes | 77c | 699.76$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 675.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 18c | 601.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 599.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.85 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 35c | 576.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 18c | 566.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.67 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 45c | 556.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 52c | 533.85$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 17c | 524.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 19c | 520.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 67c | 447.34$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 47c | 431.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 16c | 415.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…04d6backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 4c | 334.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 317.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…9b11backed Yes | 25c | 308.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 308$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes | 19c | 305.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 38c | 298.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 19c | 275$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 262.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 20c | 261.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 67c | 238.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…641fbacked Yes | 15c | 237.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed Yes | 69c | 233.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 66c | 222.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 17c | 222.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 39c | 211.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 78c | 201.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed No | 58c | 200.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed No | 54c | 187.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…4d1cbacked Yes | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 12c | 173.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Yes | 57c | 172.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 51c | 164.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 20c | 159.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +217.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…307dbacked Yes | 57c | 157.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 19c | 151.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 17c | 148.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4044backed Yes | 76c | 148.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 19c | 145.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 20c | 142$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 19c | 141.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 72c | 141$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…3851backed Yes | 20c | 135.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 20c | 129$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 32c | 119.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 20c | 111.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Yes | 20c | 110.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +272%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…7a1cbacked Yes | 60c | 107.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.