Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39286869b342b489d0b3a15e03d88c27f71383720953bba568ca70985d4aa8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 9,091$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.4 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 23c | 9,068$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 6,228$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 5,950$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.49 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 60c | 4,948$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 4,651$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.83 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 3,911$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.66 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,915$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 3c | 2,457$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 27c | 1,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,879$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.91 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,795$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.76 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 32c | 1,251$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,211$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,173$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 1,022$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.52 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 77c | 999.97$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 46c | 810$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes | 62c | 806.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…1a94backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 55c | 705$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 609.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…f644backed No | 47c | 591.35$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 572.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 553.15$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 32c | 537$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 23c | 508.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 23c | 508.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 489$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 440.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 429.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 73c | 410.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 23c | 408.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 8c | 400.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 61c | 370.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 23c | 361.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 72c | 346.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 337$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 77c | 299.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 283.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 29c | 280.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 75c | 265.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 11c | 238.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…cac2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 218.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 64c | 215.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 61c | 213.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 24c | 213.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 208.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…9b11backed Yes | 27c | 190.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 189$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 23c | 182.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 53c | 171.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 164$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 32c | 156.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 57c | 154.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 77c | 148.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 32c | 144.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 50c | 139.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked No | 73c | 137.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 79c | 137.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 137.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…3851backed Yes | 23c | 134.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed No | 77c | 130.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…b824backed Yes | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 23c | 123.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 108.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 52c | 106.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…b8a2backed Yes | 31c | 103.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…1799backed Yes | 47c | 98.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 65c | 96.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 95.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 59c | 91.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4044backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 23c | 78.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.