NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x476ae8fbb9b57261943f4c6ab92749ea5b07c7e54d67fe02bdd19c0a56b9202a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 60c | 186,361$111,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,544.36 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flyers | 40c | 145,621$58,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,248.48 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flyers | 40c | 127,025$50,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,729.43 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Flyers | 39c | 38,000$14,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,819.95 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Penguins | 59c | 21,545$12,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.28 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 60c | 17,500$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Penguins | 60c | 17,361$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.39 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 60c | 14,624$8,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.66 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Penguins | 60c | 11,111$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.4 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 60c | 10,751$6,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.43 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penguins | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Penguins | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 59c | 8,350$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 40c | 7,290$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.98 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 62c | 7,149$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.69 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Flyers | 39c | 7,007$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.59 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flyers | 40c | 7,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 39c | 6,763$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.3 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flyers | 43c | 6,570$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.95 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flyers | 0c | 5,464$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 60c | 5,287$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.8 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Penguins | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 60c | 4,821$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…9e1abacked Penguins | 9c | 4,180$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 9cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 61c | 3,459$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.01 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 0c | 3,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 37c | 3,033$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.96 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Penguins | 61c | 2,529$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.31 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.71 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 2c | 2,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Penguins | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Flyers | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Flyers | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Flyers | 2c | 1,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Flyers | 40c | 1,670$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 61c | 1,660$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Penguins | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Penguins | 79c | 1,526$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Penguins | 60c | 1,500$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.54 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…8627backed Penguins | 60c | 1,450$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…7a22backed Flyers | 40c | 1,440$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 41c | 1,342$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.22 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Flyers | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Penguins | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…f83fbacked Flyers | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Flyers | 41c | 1,077$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.97 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,008$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Flyers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Penguins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…849ebacked Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Flyers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 55c | 978.68$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.56 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 41c | 856.78$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.28 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Flyers | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Penguins | 61c | 850$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Penguins | 60c | 847.65$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Flyers | 41c | 836.59$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Flyers | 39c | 811.71$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 13c | 760.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 60c | 741.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.59 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Penguins | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…30e8backed Penguins | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Penguins | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 74c | 639.84$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Penguins | 61c | 622.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 7c | 610.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Flyers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flyers | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Penguins | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penguins | 60c | 586.63$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627c…587cbacked Penguins | 60c | 566.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…2061backed Flyers | 41c | 553.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Flyers | 40c | 507.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Penguins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Penguins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Penguins | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Flyers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 45c | 479.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…f0adbacked Penguins | 60c | 470.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 60c | 469.84$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.73 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…5a51backed Penguins | 60c | 468.33$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Flyers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 73c | 458.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Flyers | 13c | 443.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers | 12c | 429.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 40c | 427$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Penguins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Flyers | 40c | 410$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Flyers | 40c | 406.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.