Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4ceb1d1a05012c0a52e4e536a229f7485a4d426d6bbc8bb21cf35116526228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 26c | 52,603$13,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,495.34 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…c158backed Yes | 1c | 31,234$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 23c | 21,309$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.46 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 17c | 19,985$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.31 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 2c | 8,591$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 25c | 7,925$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.61 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed Yes | 24c | 6,999$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 6,950$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.94 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 24c | 3,484$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.36 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 20c | 3,327$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.24 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.33 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 28c | 2,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,446$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,063$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.63 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…23c7backed Yes | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 1,095$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.83 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 1,087$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 1,042$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 14c | 1,024$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 1c | 834.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Yes | 3c | 752.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 75c | 735.71$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 559.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…73f6backed No | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 464.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 58c | 450$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 401.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…3dacbacked Yes | 8c | 379.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 31c | 363.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 79c | 350.05$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 14c | 328.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…7cbabacked Yes | 35c | 285.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed No | 73c | 273.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…5754backed Yes | 37c | 270.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…38cebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0f3dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Yes | 20c | 190.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 20c | 170.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 154.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…4002backed Yes | 23c | 141$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…aed1backed Yes | 53c | 133.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…6e7abacked Yes | 35c | 128.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda72…69b3backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…bf66backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cd…72c2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…f331backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 41c | 97.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x654e…a835backed Yes | 36c | 85.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 16c | 79.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 20c | 78.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…a5e8backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…0178backed No | 76c | 65.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…47b3backed Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…9be2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…0021backed Yes | 39c | 54.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…d62abacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…dd7fbacked No | 62c | 42.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80a…c849backed Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9075backed Yes | 41c | 36.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…7d97backed Yes | 43c | 32.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…48f6backed Yes | 42c | 30.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…9e05backed No | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…8934backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…f9a1backed No | 53c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…9d68backed Yes | 49c | 21.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721d…7f27backed No | 66c | 21.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…840cbacked Yes | 49c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…6498backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,100 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,700 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.