NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b692d451fde748f9abd886bc9df01a61783094d761979c44c7271310d7d2f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 34,409$18,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,129.91 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 49c | 26,005$12,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,262.73 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 18,741$9,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,558 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 10,514$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 10,319$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.94 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 6,963$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 4,391$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.31 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 2,180$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 2,153$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.09 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.24 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 47c | 994.13$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 52c | 396.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 360.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 48c | 195.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 113.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Over | 49c | 78.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…95eebacked Under | 51c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 49c | 49.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 47c | 40.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 51c | 37.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…b7ddbacked Over | 49c | 35.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…4d2fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. AvalanchePredators won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.