NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b8e8dcfdeeb79e9ffcc422b4d3b3c05cb0c5a72a3b7bb00a2f38e5d273aeb30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Avalanche, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 53c | 5,270$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Predators | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.99 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Avalanche | 52c | 3,954$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Predators | 48c | 3,702$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.04 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators | 48c | 2,226$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.47 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Predators | 48c | 2,101$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 53c | 2,048$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 2,002$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.01 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Predators | 48c | 1,909$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.15 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Predators | 48c | 1,853$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 46c | 1,771$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 46c | 1,120$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.74 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Predators | 47c | 996.58$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.19 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 47c | 779.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.45 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Avalanche | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Avalanche | 51c | 629.98$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 47c | 578.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Predators | 47c | 530.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 33c | 503.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Avalanche | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 53c | 367$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Avalanche | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Avalanche | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 35c | 211.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Predators | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Avalanche | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 39c | 192$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Avalanche | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Avalanche | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Avalanche | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Avalanche | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Avalanche | 53c | 167.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Avalanche | 22c | 114.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 52c | 104.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Predators | 45c | 101.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Avalanche | 26c | 101.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Avalanche | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Predators | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Predators | 47c | 94.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.8wins | -0.36per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Avalanche | 53c | 91.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Avalanche | 53c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Avalanche | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…49b8backed Avalanche | 56c | 90.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Avalanche | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Avalanche | 54c | 71.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Predators | 47c | 59.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators | 69c | 57.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Avalanche | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Avalanche | 53c | 44.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Avalanche | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Predators | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Avalanche | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Avalanche | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Predators | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Predators | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Predators | 47c | 33.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Predators | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…e210backed Avalanche | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…1b2fbacked Avalanche | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Avalanche | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Avalanche | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Avalanche | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Predators | 71c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. AvalanchePredators won
- Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.