TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x50ec…e210

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.27
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.68
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.38
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+59%+$17.7
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.7%+$23.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+79.7%+$11.95
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$17.36
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+125.6%+$23.86
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.4%+$11.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$42.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+196.4%+$127.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.2%+$8.78
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.2%+$6.1
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.6%+$9.75
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+70.1%+$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.