Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33eff2cba7f095fc02d468b0a6e7a6a8d313a57c1ac9d76ea6cb9ebd76065530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 14,854$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,361.6 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 18c | 11,154$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,146.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 8,351$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.59 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 19c | 7,193$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 4,734$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.93 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 80c | 3,880$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 20c | 3,619$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,001$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.13 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 2,055$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 2,055$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.9 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 78c | 1,379$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 1,112$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.61 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 28c | 978.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 934.88$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 75c | 924.35$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 769.6$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.98 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 723.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 502$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 58c | 458.62$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 80c | 420$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 80c | 420$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 20c | 416.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.21 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 364.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 20c | 362.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 4c | 348.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 26c | 338$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 333.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.69 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 80c | 330$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 80c | 330$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 325.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.79 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 18c | 324.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 80c | 320$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 17c | 311.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 280$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 18c | 278.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 257.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…62dfbacked No | 23c | 236.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 21c | 208.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 80c | 201.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…bf93backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 79c | 190$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f7f9backed No | 56c | 178.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 80c | 170$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 80c | 170$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 80c | 160$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 18c | 154.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 73c | 150.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 41c | 146.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 65c | 144.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 20c | 125.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…ab37backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No | 58c | 110.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Yes | 47c | 108.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.