Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fcc9df6cf58a6275231ce7b22d0f81e7bdc51e44dbfb0c3a53fbd60259e748a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 14,198$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.05 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 11,466$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 72c | 11,030$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 5,609$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.23 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,774$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.37 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d86ebacked No | 72c | 1,656$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 1,480$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 1,250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 629.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 603$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 595$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 73c | 555$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No | 73c | 364.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 346.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 309.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 70c | 308.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 29c | 297.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 73c | 295.89$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 17c | 282.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 274.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…3406backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 28c | 236.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 29c | 183.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 20c | 176.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 161.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 14c | 143.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 74c | 124.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 119.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No | 69c | 96.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 73c | 83.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 80.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 80.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 28c | 71.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 25c | 67.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.