Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e71bc783bcb32b6fe7fe29329b2987872bf8db197f5c034f11a0c942aede4d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 46c | 25,417$11,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,725.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 45c | 17,562$7,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,659.32 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 15,034$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 12,222$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477.49 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 11,000$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 54c | 10,500$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 47c | 9,468$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 54c | 9,114$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 53c | 7,725$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.25 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 6,731$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.27 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked No | 46c | 5,708$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 4,293$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.23 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,870$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 3,336$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.54 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,150$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 52c | 2,608$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.07 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 45c | 2,472$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.69 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 55c | 2,359$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 46c | 2,266$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.36 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 48c | 2,128$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 46c | 1,948$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 45c | 1,588$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 46c | 1,093$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 54c | 969.78$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 78c | 920.89$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Yes | 53c | 917.68$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 56c | 902.62$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.52 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 47c | 740.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 28c | 740$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 660.84$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 48c | 599.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 58c | 573.27$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 47c | 507$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 46c | 499.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 22c | 499.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 28c | 496.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…9953backed No | 73c | 469.81$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked No | 46c | 460.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…fc34backed No | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 47c | 444.15$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 46c | 436.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 16c | 399.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 54c | 385.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 28c | 370.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 35c | 349$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 56c | 314.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 26c | 309.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 23c | 280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes | 54c | 278.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 265.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 14c | 264.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3934…8352backed No | 47c | 239.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 6c | 232.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 224.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 51c | 221.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 55c | 221.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 50c | 219.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 53c | 219$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 208.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Yes | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.