TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c57,613$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c38,093$18,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,9685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over49c5,785$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.3623747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c4,944$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.4569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over49c4,300$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1932864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Under51c4,300$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1931947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd9…fe8dbacked Under51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1421650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8caf…13d0backed Under51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1422147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Over49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1422466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Over49c4,200$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1422133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over52c3,988$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.7126949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c3,903$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.682,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over51c2,557$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.1520352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c2,458$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c2,448$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.482,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c2,073$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c2,003$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.291,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c1,992$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.861,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over50c1,818$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90929652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,606$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56515756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c842$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.141,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c688.82$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under51c676$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over52c400.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.295743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Under51c291.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503076.7%23 W · 7 L+6.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Under30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a4…5c91backed Over47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ec…4724backed Over52c156.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under53c150.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5712952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under49c117$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.614247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Under19c113.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.318511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under52c109.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Over52c109$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over49c108.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5170153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5150954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518425.5%47 W · 137 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…ee21backed Under51c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over80c87.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c75.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c74.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under54c71.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.695646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c68.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over49c67.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3412648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2674547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Under51c49.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4819254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over49c48.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8327…1043backed Over50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under51c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.657245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…ace1backed Over50c40.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over51c30.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9920456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ec…e210backed Under52c23.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc7…af9dbacked Under52c22.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6838048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.