NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96215644d01b230163b24bca5d9b7548855cf3f3d3b6e1d9780034f3504558a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 50c | 2,072$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.18 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 49c | 2,003$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.47 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,841$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 1,831$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,597$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,561$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.17 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 52c | 894.23$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.23 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…41afbacked Over | 51c | 449.02$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Over | 51c | 421.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 362.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 51c | 331.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Under | 15c | 313.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 287.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 46c | 218.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Under | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 48c | 189$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 168.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 165.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 49c | 162.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 40c | 151.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b2c7backed Under | 52c | 133.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Over | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Under | 49c | 82.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…02d6backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 58.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 55.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 52c | 52.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 43.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 53c | 43.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Over | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcab4…9895backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5this page
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies76ers won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.