TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies55c13,636$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers53c12,287$6,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.762,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed 76ers43c9,716$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies48c8,686$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers46c8,131$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.6587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed 76ers45c6,215$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.259263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies59c4,699$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers45c4,506$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.324,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed 76ers52c4,404$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.8526949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies49c3,631$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies52c2,669$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.0471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies54c2,387$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.9885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers48c2,010$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.22,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Grizzlies52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0406949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Grizzlies54c1,843$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4110945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers50c1,742$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed 76ers46c1,721$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.55350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Grizzlies53c1,692$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7320352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers40c1,405$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers48c1,377$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.262,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers46c1,281$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.952,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Grizzlies40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Grizzlies54c908.42$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Grizzlies17c882$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9439018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed 76ers48c868.75$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed 76ers50c737.98$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.029451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies42c719$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Grizzlies61c657.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed 76ers50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers74c589$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.432,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed 76ers46c553.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3827144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies54c467$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.181,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Grizzlies54c464.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.740%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8b8…9683backed 76ers49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers44c390.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Grizzlies11c344.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.118511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Grizzlies17c342.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.167230.6%22 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked 76ers45c335$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2540648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers49c334.23$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.481,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Grizzlies55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17515052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Grizzlies54c313$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.026952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Grizzlies50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers48c269$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.321,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies49c261$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Grizzlies49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Grizzlies55c230.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1273844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed 76ers45c224$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1246631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Grizzlies17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34568.9%5 W · 51 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Grizzlies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…a23cbacked Grizzlies61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies52c193.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.881,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Grizzlies55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Grizzlies55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed 76ers49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2733246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Grizzlies54c161$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.948355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Grizzlies62c160.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked 76ers50c154$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7753539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Grizzlies66c152.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007035.7%25 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Grizzlies48c151.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Grizzlies49c148.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed 76ers51c137.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1523948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers47c118.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421f…2df0backed Grizzlies51c115$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked 76ers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers49c105.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.143,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Grizzlies53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed 76ers46c102.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed 76ers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0432750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…155ebacked Grizzlies65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked 76ers49c99.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8562848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Grizzlies55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Grizzlies53c87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.114652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Grizzlies57c86.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4912648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.632,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Grizzlies50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Grizzlies52c78.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.67254.2%39 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Grizzlies49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.225345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cd…9471backed Grizzlies51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.670%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee5…cd39backed 76ers49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Grizzlies52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Grizzlies53c56.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53e…25b2backed 76ers49c54.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers49c52.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.252,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers48c50.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed 76ers48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Grizzlies51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies49c49.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed 76ers46c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.464161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed 76ers46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed 76ers46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.382860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed 76ers46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed 76ers46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.223857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked 76ers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5516849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4de3backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Grizzlies50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked 76ers49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.