NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782c028720f5ab556198c68cc00a1cd5aa53d9f9ed7357a421e13ca572c4017e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 46c | 65,220$30,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,001.31 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Over | 54c | 50,300$27,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,138 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 6,540$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…e3dabacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80a8backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 3,291$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.74 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 51c | 2,218$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.94 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Over | 54c | 1,898$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,261$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 59c | 1,027$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.42 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 995.44$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 966.2$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.45 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 734$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Under | 46c | 652.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 460.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 366$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Over | 53c | 190.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 132.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Over | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Under | 47c | 109.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Over | 55c | 104.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…c8d7backed Under | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…5680backed Under | 45c | 85.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Under | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1bb1backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…a66abacked Under | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…97cabacked Under | 46c | 49.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 55c | 34.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 42c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…d867backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d2…5df4backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5this page
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies76ers won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.