NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99501d4bb2403c21f84bd1d13e8227decb11495fbce8570d55d9853aec1b89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 483.52$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 48c | 483.52$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 49c | 138$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 46c | 51.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5this page
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies76ers won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.