NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5902f7b87b567ed976a8d2a1260066eb71b231e450d5e8aa7720570e146ed256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 47c | 50,783$23,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,859.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 39,026$20,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,342.2 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers | 53c | 21,573$11,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,139.21 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 46c | 12,084$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…9791backed Knicks | 48c | 10,429$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers | 52c | 9,232$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.25 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 8,000$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.03 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Knicks | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 46c | 6,909$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,800$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.97 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,618$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.71 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…431cbacked Knicks | 48c | 5,414$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 5,081$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7893…7c7abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 5,011$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…c688backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,818$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…6d9cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,713$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Knicks | 48c | 4,385$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…f280backed Knicks | 48c | 4,281$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…7b7bbacked Knicks | 48c | 4,221$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…69ccbacked Knicks | 48c | 3,815$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…f282backed Knicks | 48c | 3,376$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…3db4backed Knicks | 47c | 2,899$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…b701backed Knicks | 47c | 2,818$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…5c59backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,814$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…6a2cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,727$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8f55backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,716$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…23f2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,663$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…cb6bbacked Knicks | 47c | 2,488$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…4fefbacked Knicks | 47c | 2,452$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…03bebacked Knicks | 48c | 2,444$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…f0edbacked Knicks | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…e87abacked Knicks | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…0955backed Knicks | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa790…e6c5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…2fc0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,975$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…6f3ebacked Knicks | 47c | 1,929$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 47c | 1,916$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…dd30backed Knicks | 47c | 1,835$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 46c | 1,830$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…cdb5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,774$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…82e3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,747$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d0…3e3dbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,733$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…22e7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,666$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…a549backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,626$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…efc1backed Knicks | 47c | 1,621$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…054ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,616$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,607$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.52 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 47c | 1,606$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,516$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,474$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,410$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…b14dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,303$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…3253backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 47c | 1,219$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.04 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…2ddebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,211$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…cc18backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,187$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…d098backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,126$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Knicks | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.28 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…fc32backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.78 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…006abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…06c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 974$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Cavaliers | 52c | 901.38$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.66 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…a354backed Cavaliers | 52c | 697.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 47c | 672$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 48c | 646.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Cavaliers | 51c | 555$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 503.77$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.77 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Knicks | 49c | 498.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Cavaliers | 51c | 494.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 46c | 397.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 52c | 358.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 48c | 348.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…9fd4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 313$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Knicks | 49c | 289$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks | 47c | 282.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Knicks | 47c | 272.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks | 48c | 271.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks | 47c | 239.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…4729backed Knicks | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…36cabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Knicks | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…a699backed Knicks | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Knicks | 50c | 201.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…4153backed Knicks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Cavaliers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 184.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…bd96backed Cavaliers | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.