NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c29f23474a2b4b93719dd45acc571735b4dba0fa3c4884711a4985883b47bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 53c | 37,978$19,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,985.12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 30,000$15,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,449.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 8,148$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.23 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 5,143$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.86 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 4,845$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.05 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 4,421$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.04 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,004$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,607$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 3,027$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea35…9c74backed Under | 48c | 2,633$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…c0d0backed Over | 52c | 2,563$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…edf0backed Under | 48c | 2,463$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,375$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…421fbacked Over | 52c | 2,056$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Over | 51c | 1,899$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…ec41backed Under | 48c | 1,899$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…eca0backed Over | 52c | 1,855$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 1,744$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,730$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,546$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.53 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…b10fbacked Over | 52c | 1,426$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 1,275$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 49c | 1,254$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.46 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 922.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 922.01$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.56 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…f97abacked Under | 48c | 905$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 823.88$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 47c | 708.95$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 679$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 656.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Over | 53c | 646$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.46 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 40c | 500.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 318.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 274.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 241.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 47c | 236.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 167$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 111.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 61c | 102.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Over | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 53c | 69.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 52.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Over | 40c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f3…2527backed Over | 41c | 49.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 49.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 37.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 52c | 33.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 49c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.