NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b36e42469c2d5a512c33c7e65b52b7cd384d05676287029151a435a256dcd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 51c | 34,936$17,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,037.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 26,276$14,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,055.73 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 9,608$4,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…2ce5backed Over | 52c | 5,688$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7063…b3e1backed Under | 48c | 5,666$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…193ebacked Over | 52c | 5,511$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfa…1c2cbacked Over | 52c | 5,211$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 4,977$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.68 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 4,960$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.78 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 46c | 4,714$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.59 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 4,666$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.42 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…bd96backed Over | 52c | 4,577$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…0e67backed Under | 48c | 4,545$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,302$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…9a19backed Under | 48c | 4,255$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 46c | 4,251$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.27 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefb…c82bbacked Over | 52c | 4,155$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…ae9bbacked Under | 48c | 4,125$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…cc18backed Under | 48c | 4,053$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a42ebacked Over | 52c | 3,922$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 3,881$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…6151backed Under | 48c | 3,820$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…294bbacked Over | 52c | 3,805$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…9552backed Over | 52c | 3,785$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d2b5backed Under | 46c | 3,660$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…2fc0backed Under | 48c | 3,424$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 52c | 3,350$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…36cabacked Over | 52c | 3,331$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…9fd4backed Over | 52c | 3,311$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…34b5backed Over | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…4729backed Over | 52c | 3,101$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…b701backed Under | 48c | 2,844$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Under | 47c | 2,743$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…5c59backed Under | 48c | 2,717$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…3db4backed Under | 48c | 2,717$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…a699backed Over | 52c | 2,701$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…418dbacked Over | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…770fbacked Under | 48c | 2,574$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…4fefbacked Under | 48c | 2,455$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,440$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…cb6bbacked Under | 48c | 2,416$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…99d1backed Over | 52c | 2,364$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…fcb7backed Under | 48c | 2,331$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…23f2backed Under | 48c | 2,302$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8f55backed Under | 48c | 2,261$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…d3fbbacked Under | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,209$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.28 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…7e2dbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…1b7abacked Over | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…3c3cbacked Under | 48c | 1,848$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 1,847$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.55 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…6f3ebacked Over | 52c | 1,806$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…dd30backed Under | 48c | 1,722$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d0…3e3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 1,515$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…efc1backed Under | 48c | 1,505$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…cdb5backed Under | 48c | 1,401$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…82e3backed Under | 48c | 1,335$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 1,220$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.63 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 1,206$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…6a2cbacked Over | 52c | 1,180$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 1,144$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Under | 54c | 1,086$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.89 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 910.88$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Under | 45c | 755.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 744.57$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Over | 53c | 700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 614$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 48c | 605.18$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.26 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Under | 45c | 431.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 388$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 46c | 372.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 55c | 309.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 306$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 275.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 272.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c61…c54fbacked Under | 65c | 258.43$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 44c | 251.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 245.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 47c | 221.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 41c | 220$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 208.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.