NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9714a275676ac3c9eeb3a551794727ba4ae372f5c4fc47b114b8795e9c06dbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 54c | 46,074$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,073.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 22,751$10,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,595.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 51c | 14,204$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 10,352$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.7 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 9,710$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 47c | 4,845$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.15 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 4,244$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,510$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,033$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 1,913$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,420$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,345$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 1,341$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 991.15$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.58 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 804.58$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 760$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 55c | 706.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 671.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 511$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 54c | 492.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 415.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 388$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 370.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 29c | 226.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 223.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 176.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 173.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 140.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 52c | 68.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…648bbacked Over | 50c | 59.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…8c10backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 52.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 53c | 48.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 29c | 44.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Over | 50c | 31.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 48c | 30.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 28.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.