TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers49c28,929$14,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,767.3551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers48c10,848$5,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,659.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50e…9791backed Knicks52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers48c8,541$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers49c8,115$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,144.591,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers48c7,436$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Knicks51c6,808$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.8732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers48c6,248$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.6951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Knicks52c4,595$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks52c3,681$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.932,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks52c3,305$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.641,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers48c3,228$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.631,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Knicks53c2,886$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6b…c15fbacked Cavaliers48c2,714$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.421675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks52c2,601$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.742,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks52c2,224$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers48c2,068$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Cavaliers48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6732450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers48c1,537$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks51c1,275$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Knicks52c1,272$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6923047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers48c1,026$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers59c1,024$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Knicks53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Knicks51c980.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Knicks43c921.02$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Knicks52c450.85$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1919434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks52c450.14$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0715650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers48c418.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.751,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Cavaliers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.165048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Knicks52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers55c389$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks52c311.07$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Knicks51c290$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.918543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe95e…0bc8backed Cavaliers48c272.84$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers48c271.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.431,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Cavaliers49c270.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers52c257.47$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Knicks48c208.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7211343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers49c204.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.883,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Cavaliers49c202.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3314155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ad…34debacked Knicks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Knicks50c198.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers57c187.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers48c170.54$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.422,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Knicks53c151.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8823446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Cavaliers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.512554.4%68 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Knicks53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Cavaliers49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9413045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers48c144.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers54c142.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Knicks53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cavaliers59c126.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cavaliers52c119.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Cavaliers49c118.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2710251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Knicks52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers56c101.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.491,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed18…86e4backed Knicks53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Knicks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Cavaliers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5235739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Knicks53c94.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508936%32 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers48c88.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Knicks51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3548451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Cavaliers59c84.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Knicks52c72.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.587949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Cavaliers61c71.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.845653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Knicks53c54.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.961,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb79…70f0backed Knicks49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Knicks50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Cavaliers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4381…28f9backed Knicks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Cavaliers49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8318…8b62backed Knicks52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Cavaliers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2222556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Knicks52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Cavaliers48c33.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3337845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers61c32.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.853,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca4…817ebacked Cavaliers48c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers48c29.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.581,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers72c25.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Knicks52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers48c24.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Knicks53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Cavaliers49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Knicks51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Knicks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108045%36 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Cavaliers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.