NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf74700d61ac3120ad41351f62d65eb20dfed57bdfe0ac24bbcc63486459dcf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Knicks | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 49c | 28,929$14,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,767.35 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 10,848$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…9791backed Knicks | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 8,541$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 49c | 8,115$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.59 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 7,436$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Knicks | 51c | 6,808$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.87 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 6,248$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.69 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Knicks | 52c | 4,595$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.3 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 52c | 3,681$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.93 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 52c | 3,305$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,228$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.63 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Knicks | 53c | 2,886$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,714$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 52c | 2,601$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 52c | 2,224$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,068$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,537$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Knicks | 52c | 1,272$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.69 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,026$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 59c | 1,024$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Knicks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Knicks | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Knicks | 43c | 921.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Knicks | 52c | 450.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Knicks | 52c | 450.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Cavaliers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Knicks | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 55c | 389$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks | 52c | 311.07$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Knicks | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…0bc8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 272.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers | 48c | 271.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 52c | 257.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Knicks | 48c | 208.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 204.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Cavaliers | 49c | 202.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Knicks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Knicks | 50c | 198.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 187.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 170.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Knicks | 53c | 151.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Knicks | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Cavaliers | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 48c | 144.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 54c | 142.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Knicks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 126.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cavaliers | 52c | 119.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Cavaliers | 49c | 118.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Knicks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 101.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…86e4backed Knicks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Knicks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Knicks | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 88.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Knicks | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Cavaliers | 59c | 84.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Knicks | 52c | 72.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Cavaliers | 61c | 71.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Knicks | 53c | 54.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…70f0backed Knicks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Knicks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4381…28f9backed Knicks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Cavaliers | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…8b62backed Knicks | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Cavaliers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Knicks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Cavaliers | 48c | 33.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 61c | 32.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…817ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Knicks | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers | 48c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Knicks | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Knicks | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.