Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b68f39f7c741bba57bf597a6845fc2074a204950e08fbdde4a26b32ccb9c7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,142$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 4,664$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 3,732$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 75c | 2,836$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.24 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 77c | 1,959$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,864$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 24c | 1,199$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,113$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 74c | 1,100$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,098$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 6c | 996$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 869.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 13c | 727.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 688.14$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Yes | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 595.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 577.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 547$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 24c | 504.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 495.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 77c | 468.83$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 77c | 392.21$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 17c | 345.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 308.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 25c | 281$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 237.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 78c | 215$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 10c | 201.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 10c | 200.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 182$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 17c | 180.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 24c | 150.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 11c | 137.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Yes | 10c | 103.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 78c | 97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Yes | 16c | 85.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked No | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 18c | 83.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 16c | 75.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed No | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 77c | 57.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…e210backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 24c | 47.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 78c | 38.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 80c | 31.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…3613backed No | 77c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed No | 75c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 76c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.