Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb2992a8c7805925abbd7b1a4fcb2a3c60b18335c020247d96f70efd5c447ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 0c | 10,490$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,027$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,682$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 1,064$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 22c | 964$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 928.38$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Yes | 69c | 728.9$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 707.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 25c | 555.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 23c | 551.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 517.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.22 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 75c | 505$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…bd30backed Yes | 22c | 490$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 446.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 41c | 444.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 25c | 364$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 347.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 55c | 342.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.66 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 61c | 319.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed Yes | 66c | 303.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 63c | 283.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 242$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…e9a4backed Yes | 71c | 217.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 21c | 194.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 65c | 190.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 34c | 146.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 75c | 140.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 122.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 109.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 26c | 103$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 46c | 102.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 49c | 99.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 31c | 93.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 58c | 85.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 82.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Yes | 62c | 80.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…ffa1backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +260%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 71.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…2b8bbacked Yes | 25c | 59.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 77c | 55.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 35c | 52.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 60c | 49.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 64c | 49.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 63c | 44.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…fe41backed Yes | 73c | 37.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 63c | 33.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1a87backed Yes | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…7d9fbacked Yes | 79c | 27.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 73c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…9ea6backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Yes | 76c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 17.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 76c | 15.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…41c3backed Yes | 73c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 78c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.