TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0881…7d9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$101.27
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.7
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$304.01
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.63
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37.81
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.98
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.3%+$31.73
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+208.5%+$47.03
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.61
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$14.65
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$31.76
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.3%+$46.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle (BO3)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.83
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal (BO3)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+33.2%+$11.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+70.3%+$14.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.