Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2b62ae7b6cf2d3e8cd3f1465716546e32354487952748f6f10031b30f57583a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Lipscomb Bisons, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Lipscomb Bisons | 0c | 20,103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Lipscomb Bisons | 5c | 20,046$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…0a03backed Lipscomb Bisons | 0c | 13,347$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lipscomb Bisons | 1c | 13,136$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Lipscomb Bisons | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 1c | 9,809$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 9,015$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 8,200$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 3,553$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 3,359$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…65bfbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 1c | 3,231$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…a1ccbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 2,785$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 2,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 2,012$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 2,005$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed Lipscomb Bisons | 1c | 1,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 1,392$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…d6bebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 1,213$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 1,106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Lipscomb Bisons | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…b788backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 994.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 953.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 898.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 799.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 740.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5515backed Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 693.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 8c | 623.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 614.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Lipscomb Bisons | 8c | 608.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Lipscomb Bisons | 5c | 584.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 563.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 538.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Lipscomb Bisons | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 487.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 487.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 367.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…e964backed Lipscomb Bisons | 5c | 329.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lipscomb Bisons | 4c | 320.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…28cbbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 308.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 8c | 305.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…7d9fbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 294.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 8c | 235.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…2e35backed Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 219.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Lipscomb Bisons | 6c | 195.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Lipscomb Bisons | 7c | 165.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 9c | 164.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-32.5)Lipscomb Bisons won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-33.5)Lipscomb Bisons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.