TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3312…e964

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.64
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.62
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$41.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$64.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+27.1%+$3.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.85
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.62
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+39.8%+$5.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.