TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, Brute
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Brute37c12,523$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.431,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed fnatic77c6,470$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.758670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Brute2c5,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute45c5,474$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.761,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked fnatic55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.9875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Brute21c2,587$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.442,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Brute25c2,490$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.231,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic37c2,301$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.072,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Brute24c2,179$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed fnatic59c1,939$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed fnatic52c1,870$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.0823356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked fnatic60c1,492$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.138454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed fnatic56c1,206$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.7442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Brute23c1,145$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.255,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed fnatic49c1,111$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6128549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic59c1,067$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.55,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Brute53c983.38$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.342,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9187…b2e1backed fnatic79c950.91$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.432458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed fnatic51c909.05$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8216850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Brute53c897.77$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.232128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic52c863.6$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Brute24c795.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.819229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed fnatic49c708.18$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35827037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed fnatic76c705.01$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.27653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed fnatic45c674.25$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7141050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed fnatic76c663$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1828455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed fnatic77c644.47$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4726360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Brute25c643.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Brute35c634.12$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.423,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Brute2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+183%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Brute2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12746.8%5 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+172.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed fnatic67c600$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1969159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic75c587.89$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.552,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Brute45c577.2$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked fnatic50c551.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.217240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Brute47c518.45$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.621536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked Brute54c511.11$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Brute31c508.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.164,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Brute25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Brute33c495$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.392,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed fnatic64c469.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.241,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked fnatic45c438.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.362,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Brute34c436$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2416550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed fnatic58c401$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.446345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed fnatic40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Brute46c391.68$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.151,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Brute40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Brute37c373.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14058745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Brute71c360.09$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6616155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed Brute29c347.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brute34c344$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.611,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc326…e622backed fnatic68c338.24$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.244351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked fnatic45c335.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0463038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed fnatic44c334.73$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4527544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked fnatic64c334$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9938032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Brute6c327.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked fnatic49c314.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3313938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked fnatic76c313.34$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.28159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Brute64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed fnatic75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked fnatic55c292.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.72,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Brute71c292.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8831673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed fnatic61c281.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.142,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Brute49c279.56$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.121,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Brute33c277$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.941,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked fnatic49c277$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Brute55c270.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3130859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic68c264$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.592,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed fnatic78c256.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5422567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed fnatic43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed fnatic76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6029246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Brute50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Brute10c243$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.219533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed fnatic45c240.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2475438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brute51c230.21$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.512,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7584…d6e6backed fnatic76c226$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Brute23c223.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.335953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Brute21c222.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed fnatic56c215.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2348562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Brute34c208.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7116236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked fnatic45c208.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.791,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Brute47c206.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.743,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed fnatic51c202.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.537052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…8c72backed fnatic51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Brute56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked fnatic77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8135449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Brute52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed fnatic44c191.35$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1655738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed fnatic77c191.18$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e88…76c6backed Brute53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed fnatic75c187.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9447054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Brute41c185.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.012,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Brute44c185.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.194,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2176…b83dbacked fnatic49c180.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.172646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed fnatic56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5739955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Brute48c173.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.943,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked fnatic75c167.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.149149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed fnatic71c167.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed fnatic76c163.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8428434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab20…cf93backed Brute61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick66cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.