CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf201acf635d2f73fcf1085e52cde7f110fd1db5cb53ddfe1e0eba0651bdf4826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof fnatic, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed fnatic | 39c | 1,823$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.73 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed fnatic | 68c | 1,257$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.02 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Brute | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Brute | 54c | 1,035$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 62c | 903.03$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.41 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute | 51c | 733.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.44 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brute | 68c | 696.6$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Brute | 38c | 541.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Brute | 32c | 515.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.63 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Brute | 32c | 429.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked fnatic | 46c | 219.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed fnatic | 72c | 207.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked fnatic | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed fnatic | 56c | 190.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 59c | 178.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Brute | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed fnatic | 15c | 136.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic | 57c | 132.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed fnatic | 10c | 104.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brute | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brute | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Brute | 46c | 99.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed fnatic | 65c | 98.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed fnatic | 31c | 93.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed fnatic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 31c | 63.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked fnatic | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brute | 38c | 57.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked fnatic | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed fnatic | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed fnatic | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed fnatic | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Brute | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked fnatic | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Brute | 79c | 36.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed fnatic | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed fnatic | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked fnatic | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed fnatic | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked fnatic | 69c | 28.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed fnatic | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Brute | 77c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked fnatic | 52c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed fnatic | 69c | 22.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…0695backed fnatic | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Brute | 56c | 19.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…0c78backed fnatic | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)Brute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.