CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4ed65cc4eee124b2e8ce308d3f3612837d6c10fbd8363ae52d46e96aa029002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof fnatic, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked fnatic | 51c | 3,854$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.49 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Brute | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed fnatic | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Brute | 49c | 884$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.84 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brute | 49c | 780.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Brute | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Brute | 48c | 529.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Brute | 49c | 502.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed fnatic | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Brute | 52c | 496.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed fnatic | 51c | 393.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Brute | 55c | 343.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed fnatic | 51c | 319.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Brute | 50c | 301.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked fnatic | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Brute | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Brute | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed fnatic | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Brute | 53c | 101$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Brute | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Brute | 50c | 88.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked fnatic | 50c | 85.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Brute | 49c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed fnatic | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brute | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked fnatic | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed fnatic | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed fnatic | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed fnatic | 49c | 44.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked Brute | 55c | 37.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed fnatic | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked fnatic | 45c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked fnatic | 49c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.