Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa00674006e537f029f0d522e1119c36f1dcba9a2ed08fdef2e86aa6926476350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Carlos Alvarezof Valerio Aboian, Luis Carlos Alvarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,085,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,115,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 68c | 32,787$22,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,348.54 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 77c | 8,513$6,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 71c | 8,429$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 51c | 7,288$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 59c | 6,485$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian | 31c | 6,073$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 72c | 5,327$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.71 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 51c | 5,326$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.09 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 5,079$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valerio Aboian | 39c | 4,946$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 61c | 4,367$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.53 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 67c | 4,203$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Valerio Aboian | 36c | 3,901$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 70c | 3,900$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.48 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valerio Aboian | 38c | 3,254$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 62c | 3,055$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.31 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 3,021$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.57 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4488backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 2,945$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 2,751$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.05 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Valerio Aboian | 33c | 2,586$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.68 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valerio Aboian | 56c | 2,414$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.23 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…ee81backed Valerio Aboian | 46c | 2,158$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Valerio Aboian | 42c | 1,866$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.72 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 67c | 1,856$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.34 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valerio Aboian | 34c | 1,562$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 67c | 1,473$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Valerio Aboian | 34c | 1,438$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.39 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…861dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 61c | 1,378$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 1,344$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.57 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Valerio Aboian | 31c | 1,332$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 1,318$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 63c | 1,268$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 57c | 1,250$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 41c | 1,180$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Valerio Aboian | 60c | 1,134$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.45 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Valerio Aboian | 46c | 1,071$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.08 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.48 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Valerio Aboian | 33c | 1,001$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.74 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Valerio Aboian | 40c | 999.6$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Valerio Aboian | 57c | 955.7$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Valerio Aboian | 60c | 945.76$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.6 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 79c | 900.01$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…567dbacked Valerio Aboian | 60c | 881.49$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Valerio Aboian | 39c | 874$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.76 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Valerio Aboian | 26c | 872.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 63c | 706.27$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Valerio Aboian | 42c | 686.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 666.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 613.66$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Valerio Aboian | 46c | 576.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Valerio Aboian | 37c | 568.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 45c | 556$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Valerio Aboian | 50c | 544.67$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.34 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Valerio Aboian | 41c | 523.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valerio Aboian | 26c | 522.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Valerio Aboian | 64c | 520.37$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Valerio Aboian | 38c | 513$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Valerio Aboian | 55c | 512.17$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 501.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Valerio Aboian | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 73c | 484$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 54c | 472.08$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 57c | 463.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 40c | 456.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.74 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…b0b7backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 78c | 433.07$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 109 | 77.1%84 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Valerio Aboian | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 60c | 400.16$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 35c | 381.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Valerio Aboian | 29c | 377.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Valerio Aboian | 42c | 362.54$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Valerio Aboian | 32c | 344.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Valerio Aboian | 58c | 342.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 47c | 337.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Valerio Aboian | 41c | 334.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Valerio Aboian | 38c | 333.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 70c | 332.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 78c | 311.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 303.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Valerio Aboian | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 41c | 299.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 44c | 299.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 296.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Valerio Aboian | 46c | 293.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Valerio Aboian | 50c | 291.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 79c | 291.42$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Valerio Aboian | 32c | 283.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 64c | 260.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 76c | 253.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 43c | 251.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 66c | 247.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Valerio Aboian | 43c | 243.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Valerio Aboian | 33c | 243$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Valerio Aboian | 59c | 241.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 70c | 238.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezthis page
- Set Handicap: Aboian (-1.5) vs Alvarez (+1.5)Alvarez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.