TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof 9z, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Alliance54c18,379$9,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,507.3733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z51c12,475$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,331.0681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alliance74c9,849$7,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.1138454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Alliance66c6,427$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.9263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Alliance51c6,329$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Alliance56c5,375$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.4717554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 9z45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z57c4,174$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.3522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed 9z52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance64c3,839$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.776,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z25c3,760$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.431,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z47c3,734$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.982,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed 9z46c3,417$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.878246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z50c3,230$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.421,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 9z52c2,900$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked 9z52c2,711$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Alliance60c2,528$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.3114839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked 9z46c2,399$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09924038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z47c2,280$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.995,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Alliance51c2,250$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.4816542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Alliance78c2,153$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Alliance52c2,066$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.687459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 9z38c2,054$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.33,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance53c2,027$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.532,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed 9z1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Alliance49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9821953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Alliance51c1,889$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.7529046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Alliance48c1,742$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.8361034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Alliance48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6719448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z36c1,500$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.132,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 9z38c1,490$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.951,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d5…8863backed 9z23c1,481$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Alliance42c1,428$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.233458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z44c1,403$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.471,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Alliance52c1,397$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.5621854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance50c1,345$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.461,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed 9z27c1,238$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32843933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed 9z39c1,161$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7327037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked 9z23c1,131$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7963038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Alliance52c1,093$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.484553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Alliance48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.5113454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z55c1,048$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Alliance52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9610452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Alliance44c1,000$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55969624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 9z42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked 9z39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked Alliance48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5253447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked 9z40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8920944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Alliance62c997.99$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.512,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c6…0123backed Alliance55c963.25$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.466743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed 9z37c886.93$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc698…6794backed 9z42c857.78$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.811936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 9z46c853.71$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6740140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 9z37c807.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alliance53c791.36$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.331,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked 9z33c754.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0360%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 9z50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 9z43c748.21$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1327961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked 9z48c728.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.762128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed 9z46c727.24$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.310061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 9z51c700$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed 9z53c669.51$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5235953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Alliance77c654.49$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.38534.1%29 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8c…0ce4backed Alliance52c651.81$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed 9z2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+183%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed 9z2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12746.8%5 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+172.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 9z34c598.66$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.322,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Alliance54c587.43$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed Alliance52c581.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.625151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z34c561.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.072,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance53c550.05$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.544,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Alliance64c540.64$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.676555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Alliance70c531.46$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8615047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Alliance52c509.62$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6218444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Alliance42c500$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked 9z47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9920248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked 9z51c499.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9911650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked 9z34c493$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0940950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Alliance74c490$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.356546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Alliance67c487.86$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3817759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 9z35c486.21$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.382,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Alliance51c485.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8713938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 9z48c483.2$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed 9z44c479.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.531,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Alliance80c469.28$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.920562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed Alliance72c466.05$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.486651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4579…dfdfbacked 9z53c457.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.384042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Alliance55c456.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.229158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked 9z46c454.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.035066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed 9z60c448.33$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2691855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…4d0dbacked 9z45c440$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed 9z50c436.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0128549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 9z45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 9z44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed 9z42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1669533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Alliance36c392.29$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7543237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…34dabacked 9z39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 9z47c377.66$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Alliance54c370.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.925651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.