CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc0b772b954c0dd88556a22028caaff914b35d09c9747836f0cd740e5851860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof 9z, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 68c | 28,425$19,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 9z | 32c | 6,614$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.2 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance | 68c | 5,724$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.41 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed 9z | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 32c | 4,558$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.52 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed 9z | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 9z | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked 9z | 31c | 2,410$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.14 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked 9z | 32c | 1,953$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.01 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed 9z | 31c | 1,845$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked 9z | 32c | 1,831$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed 9z | 34c | 1,779$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked 9z | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked 9z | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed 9z | 31c | 1,526$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.06 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 9z | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed 9z | 31c | 1,332$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.89 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z | 31c | 1,132$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.89 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Alliance | 68c | 888.77$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z | 68c | 807.7$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.34 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Alliance | 68c | 746.27$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.81 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed 9z | 32c | 740.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 32c | 658.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Alliance | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Alliance | 62c | 480.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed 9z | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Alliance | 58c | 446.43$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 9z | 32c | 444.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Alliance | 57c | 400.4$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked 9z | 33c | 362.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Alliance | 63c | 352.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alliance | 41c | 350.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed 9z | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked Alliance | 55c | 293.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Alliance | 69c | 288.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed 9z | 45c | 264.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…cca0backed 9z | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Alliance | 67c | 225$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed 9z | 32c | 221.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed 9z | 32c | 219$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 9z | 36c | 207.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Alliance | 68c | 200.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alliance | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Alliance | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 9z | 33c | 196.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed 9z | 42c | 182$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Alliance | 60c | 181.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 32c | 180.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked 9z | 45c | 169.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Alliance | 69c | 148.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed 9z | 43c | 147.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed Alliance | 57c | 147.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Alliance | 64c | 146.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked 9z | 42c | 143.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 9z | 33c | 140.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed 9z | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alliance | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z | 37c | 118.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Alliance | 26c | 117.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…ae8cbacked Alliance | 20c | 112.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed 9z | 32c | 110.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed 9z | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Alliance | 55c | 99.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed 9z | 71c | 94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed 9z | 32c | 89.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed 9z | 45c | 88.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Alliance | 36c | 84.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alliance | 69c | 83.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed 9z | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked 9z | 30c | 79.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Alliance | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed 9z | 30c | 76.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Alliance | 62c | 75.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Alliance | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Alliance | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed 9z | 32c | 66.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked 9z | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked 9z | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed Alliance | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Alliance | 63c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed 9z | 40c | 52.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 9z | 49c | 52.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked 9z | 32c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked 9z | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alliance | 64c | 48.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…3d33backed Alliance | 50c | 47.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 422 | 74.2%313 W · 109 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…abdebacked Alliance | 26c | 47.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed 9z | 31c | 47.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed 9z | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Alliance | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Alliance | 74c | 44.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Alliance | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Alliance | 30c | 39.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…87adbacked Alliance | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alliance | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…a1f1backed 9z | 32c | 37.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…812fbacked Alliance | 30c | 35.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Alliance | 68c | 33.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…c070backed 9z | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed 9z | 50c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.