CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a3032a5bc8f96de07a719dfab558cdfeeda0039a62611a9d7315e4300c8fb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Alliance | 21c | 10,623$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.83 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alliance | 40c | 6,861$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.14 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 40c | 6,270$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.63 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 9z | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 60c | 4,168$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.86 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed 9z | 73c | 4,079$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.95 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance | 39c | 3,523$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.82 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alliance | 19c | 3,463$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.22 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 9z | 70c | 3,210$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.06 | 380 | 54.5%207 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z | 60c | 2,715$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.23 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Alliance | 39c | 2,669$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Alliance | 20c | 2,477$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.32 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 9z | 62c | 2,355$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.59 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed 9z | 77c | 2,250$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 79c | 2,212$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.41 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Alliance | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 9z | 78c | 1,497$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.96 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked 9z | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alliance | 15c | 1,440$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alliance | 27c | 1,431$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alliance | 20c | 1,295$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.9 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Alliance | 40c | 1,282$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Alliance | 27c | 1,074$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…8c02backed Alliance | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 9z | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 9z | 66c | 906.25$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked 9z | 61c | 835.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.03 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Alliance | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alliance | 27c | 828.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed 9z | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alliance | 32c | 759.86$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z | 75c | 748.75$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed 9z | 78c | 713.31$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Alliance | 24c | 600.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked Alliance | 26c | 541.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Alliance | 34c | 539.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Alliance | 25c | 523.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed 9z | 77c | 523.13$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 331 | 48.3%160 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alliance | 37c | 519$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Alliance | 40c | 513$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed 9z | 62c | 501$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed 9z | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Alliance | 26c | 482.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 9z | 72c | 481.96$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked 9z | 80c | 472.22$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alliance | 23c | 446$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 9z | 71c | 423.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance | 17c | 413.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed 9z | 70c | 410.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked 9z | 60c | 360.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z | 72c | 342.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed 9z | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance | 27c | 325.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 9z | 79c | 323.63$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alliance | 19c | 317.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance | 17c | 309.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alliance | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 9z | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 532 | 44.9%239 W · 293 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed 9z | 78c | 295.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Alliance | 17c | 294.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed 9z | 60c | 290.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Alliance | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed 9z | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Alliance | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Alliance | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed 9z | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Alliance | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Alliance | 25c | 242.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 33c | 218$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alliance | 14c | 209$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed 9z | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Alliance | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed 9z | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Alliance | 31c | 199$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Alliance | 26c | 196.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed 9z | 79c | 191.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9z | 70c | 190.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 9z | 78c | 190$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 28c | 183.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 9z | 61c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Alliance | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 9z | 69c | 163$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 24c | 154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed 9z | 79c | 153$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed 9z | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Alliance | 35c | 148.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance | 18c | 141.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Alliance | 27c | 140.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed 9z | 61c | 136.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 60c | 134.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Alliance | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Alliance | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked 9z | 78c | 126.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked 9z | 60c | 123.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alliance | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Alliance | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed 9z | 79c | 106.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.