CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4d49c526260d45eb8f8bf3029b7a34742a599951cb2d37fcd1d5b95ae0e405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof 9z, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Alliance | 61c | 8,146$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed 9z | 41c | 4,385$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.65 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 39c | 3,511$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.75 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance | 61c | 2,082$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 37c | 1,398$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.27 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed 9z | 38c | 1,364$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.32 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked 9z | 38c | 1,068$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked 9z | 39c | 819$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Alliance | 62c | 806.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed 9z | 38c | 696.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Alliance | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed 9z | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked 9z | 39c | 256.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed 9z | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 9z | 37c | 107.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 9z | 38c | 101.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alliance | 60c | 101.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed 9z | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked 9z | 38c | 56.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 67c | 54.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Alliance | 63c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Alliance | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…a1f1backed 9z | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 40c | 37.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Alliance | 62c | 34.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Alliance | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked 9z | 40c | 29.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.