CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc675edff3fa501beaeb1c8a4c2bbd4012a2ebbb386098d5b84d122dfdd9f3e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 13,112$6,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.66 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 48c | 3,184$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.33 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 52c | 1,931$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 1,479$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.78 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Under | 47c | 1,473$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.31 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 48c | 987.12$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.82 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 48c | 975$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 49c | 881.55$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 714.93$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Over | 52c | 555.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Under | 49c | 450$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 50c | 344.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 51c | 331.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 327.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 33c | 291.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Over | 49c | 289.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 7c | 285.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 53c | 251.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 248.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 217.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 197.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 76c | 166.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…051ebacked Under | 47c | 158.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 152.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 49c | 129.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 48c | 123.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 112.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 92.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 52c | 89.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 78.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 52c | 71.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 69.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Under | 50c | 59.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 50c | 59.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 53.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed Under | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 52c | 47.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 39c | 46.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 79c | 44.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…9588backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Over | 51c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…6bdfbacked Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…e8babacked Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 51c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 49c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…e8a4backed Under | 49c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…631bbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 47c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Over | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.